V-Lab
Contemporary Amperex Tech Co Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
56.33%
decreased by 2.23%
1 Week
57.60%
decreased by 0.96%
1 Month
60.00%
increased by 1.44%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0222 | 3.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0933 | 1.93* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7846 | 6.05*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.1350 | 1.07 |
Persistence:
0.878
Half-life:
5 days
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