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V-Lab

Contemporary Amperex Tech Co APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

36.52%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Week

36.94%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Month

38.18%

increased by 0.49%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Contemporary Amperex Tech Co APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 20, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. The volatility power δ = 1.47 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1969
2.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0438
0.04
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8992
60.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-1.0000
-0.03
δ

power

Transformation power

1.4653
6.77***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days