V-Lab
Contemporary Amperex Tech Co APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
36.52%
decreased by 1.17%
1 Week
36.94%
decreased by 0.75%
1 Month
38.18%
increased by 0.49%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. The volatility power δ = 1.47 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1969 | 2.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0438 | 0.04 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8992 | 60.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -1.0000 | -0.03 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.4653 | 6.77*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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