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V-Lab

Deutsche Telekom AG APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026

1 Day

24.66%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Week

24.87%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Month

25.62%

increased by 0.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Telekom AG APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 1996 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 48% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.34 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0339
3.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0795
7.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9204
78.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1457
1.98**
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3363
6.56***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days