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V-Lab

Deutsche Telekom AG Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

26.58%

decreased by 1.44%

1 Week

26.01%

decreased by 2.01%

1 Month

24.31%

decreased by 3.71%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Telekom AG S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8153
3.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0752
6.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8727
48.70***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.0662
-0.89
γ2-0.0742
-0.71
γ30.3236
5.25***
γ4-0.2826
-4.73***
γ50.1595
2.30**
γ6-0.1418
-1.89*
γ70.1679
2.42**
γ8-0.1289
-2.00**
γ90.0529
1.10

Persistence:

0.948

Half-life:

13 days