Deutsche Telekom AG Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
26.58%
decreased by 1.44%
1 Week
26.01%
decreased by 2.01%
1 Month
24.31%
decreased by 3.71%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8153 | 3.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0752 | 6.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8727 | 48.70*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -0.0662 | -0.89 |
| γ2 | -0.0742 | -0.71 |
| γ3 | 0.3236 | 5.25*** |
| γ4 | -0.2826 | -4.73*** |
| γ5 | 0.1595 | 2.30** |
| γ6 | -0.1418 | -1.89* |
| γ7 | 0.1679 | 2.42** |
| γ8 | -0.1289 | -2.00** |
| γ9 | 0.0529 | 1.10 |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
Other Deutsche Telekom AG Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities