Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

42.46%

decreased by 2.34%

1 Week

48.12%

increased by 3.32%

1 Month

59.67%

increased by 14.87%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.0958
3.88***
αARCH0.2323
3.46***
βGARCH0.6867
11.84***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ11.6929
8.16***
γ2-2.5740
-7.10***
γ31.1813
3.81***
γ4-0.3902
-1.41
γ50.1306
0.65

0.919

Persistence

8d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0958
3.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2323
3.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6867
11.84***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ11.6929
8.16***
γ2-2.5740
-7.10***
γ31.1813
3.81***
γ4-0.3902
-1.41
γ50.1306
0.65

Persistence:

0.919

Half-life:

8 days