Skip to main content
V-Lab

Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

95.09%

decreased by 14.32%

1 Week

92.57%

decreased by 16.84%

1 Month

85.88%

decreased by 23.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Aug 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1112
3.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2288
3.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6967
12.33***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ11.7040
7.91***
γ2-2.5854
-6.85***
γ31.1740
3.65***
γ4-0.3751
-1.31
γ50.1197
0.58

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days