Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
126.75%
decreased by 17.44%
1 Week
123.98%
decreased by 20.21%
1 Month
117.02%
decreased by 27.17%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2003 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 39% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2483 | 12.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3188 | 27.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9345 | 148.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0518 | -4.93*** |
Persistence:
0.934
Half-life:
10 days
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