V-Lab
Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
51.50%
decreased by 4.50%
1 Week
56.44%
increased by 0.44%
1 Month
72.50%
increased by 16.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 22, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.2524 | 3.24*** |
| αARCH | 0.3136 | 7.04*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9327 | 37.56*** |
| γleverage | -0.0593 | -1.40 |
0.933
Persistence10d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2524 | 3.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3136 | 7.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9327 | 37.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0593 | -1.40 |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
Other Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on International Equities