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Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

47.27%

decreased by 2.95%

1 Week

51.79%

increased by 1.57%

1 Month

66.51%

increased by 16.29%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 161 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~161 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5567
1.41
αARCH0.2026
6.08***
βGARCH0.7931
27.27***
γleverage1.3590
1.71*

0.996

Persistence

161d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5567
1.41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2026
6.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7931
27.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.3590
1.71*

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

161 days