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V-Lab

Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

36.21%

decreased by 2.36%

1 Week

37.88%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

41.98%

increased by 3.41%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Wuxi Honghui New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2016 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.40) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5809
23.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1542
32.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7798
155.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4001
5.16***

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days