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V-Lab

Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

41.76%

decreased by 2.53%

1 Week

41.23%

decreased by 3.06%

1 Month

40.26%

decreased by 4.03%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 2, 2006 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.50) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8158
11.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0814
17.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7835
65.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4956
3.48***

Persistence:

0.865

Half-life:

5 days