Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
37.02%
increased by 2.93%
1 Week
37.47%
increased by 3.38%
1 Month
38.75%
increased by 4.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 2, 2006 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 87% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1087 | 5.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0942 | 11.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9433 | 87.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0286 | -3.78*** |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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