V-Lab
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
40.07%
decreased by 1.04%
1 Week
40.21%
decreased by 0.90%
1 Month
40.62%
decreased by 0.49%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 08:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 2, 2006 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 88% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1084 | 5.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0931 | 11.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9435 | 88.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0285 | -3.80*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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