V-Lab
Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
12.33%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Week
13.41%
increased by 0.68%
1 Month
17.98%
increased by 5.25%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:50 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 1993 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 15% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0671 | 19.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2551 | 33.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9682 | 565.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0180 | -4.54*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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