Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
15.34%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Week
16.45%
increased by 0.80%
1 Month
20.95%
increased by 5.30%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 1993 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 15% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0677 | 19.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2553 | 33.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9680 | 562.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0183 | -4.60*** |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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