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V-Lab

Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

15.61%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

17.09%

increased by 1.32%

1 Month

22.33%

increased by 6.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Kerry Tj Logistics Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 1993 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 18% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 0.87 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0678
19.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1334
26.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8666
182.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0937
4.95***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.8745
23.93***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days