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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

35.10%

increased by 1.46%

1 Week

34.27%

increased by 0.63%

1 Month

33.18%

decreased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 48% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.67 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6956
3.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1072
8.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6944
22.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1157
4.98***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.6743
6.54***

Persistence:

0.792

Half-life:

3 days