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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

36.94%

decreased by 2.80%

1 Week

36.11%

decreased by 3.63%

1 Month

33.61%

decreased by 6.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 18, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. The volatility power δ = 1.13 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0783
9.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1186
21.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8609
140.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0006
0.03
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1279
9.93***

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days