Gujarat Energy Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
36.94%
decreased by 2.80%
1 Week
36.11%
decreased by 3.63%
1 Month
33.61%
decreased by 6.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 18, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. The volatility power δ = 1.13 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0783 | 9.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1186 | 21.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8609 | 140.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0006 | 0.03 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1279 | 9.93*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
Other Gujarat Energy Ltd Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on International Equities