Skip to main content
V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

32.26%

increased by 2.30%

1 Week

31.81%

increased by 1.85%

1 Month

30.45%

increased by 0.49%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 18, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. The volatility power δ = 1.14 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0797
9.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1187
21.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8603
140.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0036
-0.22
δ

power

Transformation power

1.1398
10.08***

Persistence:

0.956

Half-life:

15 days