Hangzhou Radical Energy Saving Technology Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
81.45%
increased by 8.29%
1 Week
71.64%
decreased by 1.52%
1 Month
52.36%
decreased by 20.80%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 23, 2017 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. The volatility power δ = 0.58 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1267 | 10.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2485 | 32.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7081 | 77.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0083 | -0.69 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5763 | 9.05*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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