V-Lab
Hangzhou Radical Energy Saving Technology Co Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
42.98%
increased by 2.02%
1 Week
40.43%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Month
34.99%
decreased by 5.97%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 23, 2017 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. The volatility power δ = 0.57 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1283 | 10.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2532 | 33.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7024 | 77.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0004 | -0.03 |
δ power Transformation power | 0.5692 | 9.04*** |
Persistence:
0.908
Half-life:
7 days
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