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V-Lab

Alice Queen Limited Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

197.73%

increased by 17.11%

1 Week

197.51%

increased by 16.89%

1 Month

196.69%

increased by 16.07%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Alice Queen Limited APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 9, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 77 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
5.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0584
26.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9343
399.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0040
0.18
δ

power

Transformation power

1.9170
31.11***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

77 days