V-Lab
Alice Queen Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
168.58%
decreased by 6.96%
1 Week
167.88%
decreased by 7.66%
1 Month
165.56%
decreased by 9.98%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 9, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 47% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.9466 | 7.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0579 | 9.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8981 | 198.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0272 | 2.15** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
22 days
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