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Varopakorn Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

50.37%

decreased by 1.66%

1 Week

52.74%

increased by 0.71%

1 Month

59.33%

increased by 7.30%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Varopakorn Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 17, 1992 to Oct 2, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9411
4.23***
αARCH0.1575
4.24***
βGARCH0.8151
30.80***
γleverage-0.0318
-0.56

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9411
4.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1575
4.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8151
30.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0318
-0.56

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days