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V-Lab

Varopakorn Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

37.47%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

41.42%

increased by 3.73%

1 Month

51.66%

increased by 13.97%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Varopakorn Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 17, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8805
16.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1447
16.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8252
131.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0240
-1.75*

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days