V-Lab
XtalPi Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
74.97%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
74.97%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
74.97%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9214 | 0.04 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9138 | 0.26 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.914
Half-life:
8 days
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