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V-Lab
V-Lab

Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

149.93%

increased by 12.15%

1 Week

151.60%

increased by 13.82%

1 Month

158.01%

increased by 20.23%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Range International Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 410 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~410 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1486
1.19
αARCH0.0874
1.62
βGARCH0.9052
29.79***
γleverage0.0116
0.15

0.998

Persistence

410d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1486
1.19
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0874
1.62
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9052
29.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0116
0.15

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

410 days