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V-Lab
V-Lab

Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

118.51%

decreased by 1.83%

1 Week

120.71%

increased by 0.37%

1 Month

129.01%

increased by 8.67%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Range International Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 356 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~356 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1524
1.19
αARCH0.0877
1.64
βGARCH0.9053
29.86***
γleverage0.0102
0.13

0.998

Persistence

356d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1524
1.19
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0877
1.64
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9053
29.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0102
0.13

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

356 days