Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
277.80%
increased by 7.58%
1 Week
278.84%
increased by 8.62%
1 Month
282.96%
increased by 12.74%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1504 | 4.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0866 | 6.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9040 | 114.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0187 | 0.85 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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