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V-Lab

Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

277.80%

increased by 7.58%

1 Week

278.84%

increased by 8.62%

1 Month

282.96%

increased by 12.74%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Range International Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): volatility shocks do not decay and the long-run variance is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1504
4.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0866
6.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9040
114.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0187
0.85

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-