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Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

151.67%

decreased by 6.37%

1 Week

153.33%

decreased by 4.71%

1 Month

159.73%

increased by 1.69%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Range International Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Sep 14, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 453 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~453 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1460
1.19
αARCH0.0863
1.61
βGARCH0.9053
29.82***
γleverage0.0139
0.17

0.998

Persistence

453d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1460
1.19
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0863
1.61
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9053
29.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0139
0.17

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

453 days