V-Lab
Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
202.63%
decreased by 9.13%
1 Week
203.90%
decreased by 7.86%
1 Month
208.88%
decreased by 2.88%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 869 trading days (~3.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1559 | 4.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0856 | 6.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9042 | 115.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0187 | 0.86 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
869 days
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