Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
118.51%
decreased by 1.83%
1 Week
120.71%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
129.01%
increased by 8.67%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 22, 2016 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 356 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~356 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1524 | 1.19 |
| αARCH | 0.0877 | 1.64 |
| βGARCH | 0.9053 | 29.86*** |
| γleverage | 0.0102 | 0.13 |
0.998
Persistence356d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1524 | 1.19 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0877 | 1.64 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9053 | 29.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0102 | 0.13 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
356 days
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