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V-Lab

Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

164.02%

decreased by 6.82%

1 Week

165.65%

decreased by 5.19%

1 Month

172.01%

increased by 1.17%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 06:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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graph of Range International Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 869 trading days (~3.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1559
4.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0856
6.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9042
115.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0187
0.86

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

869 days