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V-Lab

Range International Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

175.21%

decreased by 4.99%

1 Week

176.65%

decreased by 3.55%

1 Month

182.26%

increased by 2.06%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Range International Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 22, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 630 trading days (~2.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1423
4.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0844
6.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9053
118.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0183
0.85

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

630 days