Gujarat Energy Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
34.77%
decreased by 2.70%
1 Week
33.97%
decreased by 3.50%
1 Month
32.97%
decreased by 4.50%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 74% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9240 | 8.16*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0771 | 5.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6733 | 28.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0572 | 2.29** |
Persistence:
0.779
Half-life:
3 days
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