V-Lab
Gujarat Energy Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
27.64%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
29.51%
increased by 1.53%
1 Month
31.50%
increased by 3.52%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 67% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9833 | 8.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0830 | 6.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6532 | 26.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0557 | 2.23** |
Persistence:
0.764
Half-life:
3 days
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