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Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

48.34%

decreased by 2.74%

1 Week

52.07%

increased by 0.99%

1 Month

64.24%

increased by 13.16%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:03 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~82 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8264
2.32**
αARCH0.1244
2.55**
βGARCH0.8159
25.17***
γleverage0.1026
0.81

0.992

Persistence

82d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8264
2.32**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1244
2.55**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8159
25.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1026
0.81

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

82 days