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V-Lab

Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

91.41%

decreased by 7.48%

1 Week

93.03%

decreased by 5.86%

1 Month

98.95%

increased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Aug 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 104 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 77% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8141
9.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1271
10.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8174
101.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0976
3.02***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

104 days