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V-Lab

Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

52.85%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Week

56.32%

increased by 2.29%

1 Month

68.38%

increased by 14.35%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 442 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 69% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7720
8.61***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1383
10.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8126
100.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0952
3.19***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

442 days