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V-Lab

Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

146.11%

decreased by 15.39%

1 Week

146.10%

decreased by 15.40%

1 Month

146.05%

decreased by 15.45%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Trust Finance Indonesia Tbk PT APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 22, 2003 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 65% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.75 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5720
5.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1738
17.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8262
99.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1421
5.14***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.7493
16.98***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days