V-Lab
Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
41.50%
decreased by 1.31%
1 Week
41.82%
decreased by 0.99%
1 Month
42.94%
increased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 26, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 44% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1524 | 13.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0949 | 30.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8907 | 294.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0977 | -9.25*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.8654 | 31.10*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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