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V-Lab

Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

41.50%

decreased by 1.31%

1 Week

41.82%

decreased by 0.99%

1 Month

42.94%

increased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 1998 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 44% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1524
13.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0949
30.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8907
294.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0977
-9.25***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.8654
31.10***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days