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V-Lab

Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

38.63%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

39.74%

increased by 0.69%

1 Month

41.58%

increased by 2.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 39% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1113
27.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8447
170.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0310
-8.16***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1212
1.59
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6754
1.71*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1927
0.40

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days