Skip to main content
V-Lab

Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

40.48%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

41.57%

increased by 0.81%

1 Month

44.65%

increased by 3.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 26, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9144
5.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1032
8.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8495
45.35***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.0102
-0.19
γ20.0757
1.00
γ3-0.1962
-4.42***
γ40.2368
5.59***
γ5-0.1720
-3.99***
γ60.1316
3.19***
γ7-0.0985
-3.31***

Persistence:

0.953

Half-life:

14 days