V-Lab
Beijing Dalong Weiye Real Estate Development Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
38.46%
decreased by 0.66%
1 Week
38.88%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
40.33%
increased by 1.21%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 26, 1998 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 46% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1710 | 15.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1096 | 20.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8898 | 292.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0348 | -4.56*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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