V-Lab
Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
73.74%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Week
73.51%
decreased by 1.21%
1 Month
72.80%
decreased by 1.92%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8414 | 3.00*** |
| αARCH | 0.1636 | 3.00*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8279 | 24.83*** |
| γleverage | -0.0674 | -0.74 |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8414 | 3.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1636 | 3.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8279 | 24.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0674 | -0.74 |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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