Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
108.82%
increased by 12.45%
1 Week
106.28%
increased by 9.91%
1 Month
99.35%
increased by 2.98%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0487 | 4.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1430 | 4.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7888 | 16.29*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.1873 | 1.66* |
| γ2 | -0.2691 | -1.93* |
Persistence:
0.932
Half-life:
10 days
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