Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
97.80%
increased by 7.24%
1 Week
94.53%
increased by 3.97%
1 Month
85.18%
decreased by 5.38%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 82% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1783 | 19.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7973 | 82.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0802 | -5.17*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 17.3226 |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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