V-Lab
Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
104.05%
increased by 15.06%
1 Week
100.54%
increased by 11.55%
1 Month
90.25%
increased by 1.26%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 63% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1762 | 19.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7976 | 86.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0682 | -4.56*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 17.8817 |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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