V-Lab
Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
117.39%
increased by 44.39%
1 Week
113.24%
increased by 40.24%
1 Month
100.62%
increased by 27.62%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 05:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Sep 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.1715 | 4.90*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8072 | 23.54*** |
| γleverage | -0.0675 | -1.17 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 18.2933 |
0.945
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1715 | 4.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8072 | 23.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0675 | -1.17 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 18.2933 |
Persistence:
0.945
Half-life:
12 days
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