V-Lab
Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
71.44%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Week
71.07%
decreased by 0.95%
1 Month
70.04%
decreased by 1.98%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.1698 | 4.92*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8067 | 23.65*** |
| γleverage | -0.0644 | -1.13 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 18.3039 |
0.944
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1698 | 4.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8067 | 23.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0644 | -1.13 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 18.3039 |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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