V-Lab
Inno Laser Technology Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
82.06%
decreased by 7.84%
1 Week
80.57%
decreased by 9.33%
1 Month
76.32%
decreased by 13.58%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 6, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 63% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1762 | 19.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7987 | 88.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0679 | -4.60*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 18.0955 |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
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