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Gujarat Energy Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

34.91%

increased by 0.75%

1 Week

35.94%

increased by 1.78%

1 Month

35.46%

increased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 191% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 191% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0351
1.41
βGARCH0.6043
4.58***
γleverage0.0670
1.97**
λ₁tau intercept1.0884
1.32
λ₂forecast adj.0.5332
1.34
λ₃tau persistence0.2116
0.38

0.673

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0351
1.41
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6043
4.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0670
1.97**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.0884
1.32
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5332
1.34
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2116
0.38

Persistence:

0.673

Half-life:

2 days