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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

36.18%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

37.96%

increased by 1.67%

1 Month

39.39%

increased by 3.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 195% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0343
3.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6032
12.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0668
5.06***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1277
0.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5806
0.08
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1595
0.02

Persistence:

0.671

Half-life:

2 days