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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

41.60%

decreased by 1.46%

1 Week

42.46%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Month

42.56%

decreased by 0.50%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 232% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0291
2.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6183
10.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0674
4.63***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1886
0.05
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6645
0.05
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0693
0.00

Persistence:

0.681

Half-life:

2 days