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Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

36.99%

increased by 7.99%

1 Week

36.47%

increased by 7.47%

1 Month

35.18%

increased by 6.18%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.21 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 4.21 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst4.4046
1.73*
αARCH0.1120
3.03***
βGARCH0.9210
19.79***
νDF4.2051
1.30

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.4046
1.73*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1120
3.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9210
19.79***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2051
1.30

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days