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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

32.20%

decreased by 1.90%

1 Week

32.40%

decreased by 1.70%

1 Month

32.89%

decreased by 1.21%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.08 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.4668
6.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1113
11.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9211
72.88***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0783
5.15***

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days