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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

24.98%

decreased by 1.52%

1 Week

26.41%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Month

29.62%

increased by 3.12%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.4630
6.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1123
11.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9205
72.24***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0594
5.22***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days