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V-Lab

Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

39.01%

increased by 5.94%

1 Week

38.26%

increased by 5.19%

1 Month

36.35%

increased by 3.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.4719
6.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1124
11.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9201
72.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0636
5.20***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days