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Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

35.63%

decreased by 2.84%

1 Week

35.37%

decreased by 3.10%

1 Month

34.69%

decreased by 3.78%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Gujarat Energy Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.06 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.5053
6.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1108
11.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9244
73.32***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.0550
5.25***

Persistence:

0.924

Half-life:

9 days