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V-Lab

Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

50.79%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

50.79%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

50.79%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.53 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.2368
0.43
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9750
4.36***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.5306
0.16

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days