Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

55.60%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

55.60%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

55.60%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.87 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

12.2666
0.27
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9348
2.28**
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8670
0.24

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days