Bai-Kakaji Polymers Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
50.15%
increased by 1.66%
1 Week
50.75%
increased by 2.26%
1 Month
51.37%
increased by 2.88%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.7496 | 3.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2108 | 7.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5293 | 5.83*** |
Persistence:
0.740
Half-life:
2 days
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