V-Lab
Tips Music Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
45.33%
decreased by 2.27%
1 Week
49.32%
increased by 1.72%
1 Month
53.22%
increased by 5.62%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.0394 | 17.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2255 | 23.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5201 | 34.38*** |
Persistence:
0.746
Half-life:
2 days
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