V-Lab
Tips Music Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
40.23%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
46.47%
increased by 5.94%
1 Month
52.23%
increased by 11.70%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 11, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.0286 | 18.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2435 | 14.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5205 | 35.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0402 | -1.63 |
Persistence:
0.744
Half-life:
2 days
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