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V-Lab

Tips Music Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

30.42%

decreased by 1.59%

1 Week

35.27%

increased by 3.26%

1 Month

44.97%

increased by 12.96%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tips Music Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 11, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.84 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

12.2646
8.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1446
21.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9204
89.23***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8438
11.15***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days