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V-Lab

Freehold Royalties Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

25.42%

increased by 1.00%

1 Week

25.56%

increased by 1.14%

1 Month

26.09%

increased by 1.67%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.29 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.0542
5.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0677
33.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9902
586.28***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2895
10.29***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

71 days