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Freehold Royalties Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

19.44%

increased by 1.20%

1 Week

19.95%

increased by 1.71%

1 Month

21.83%

increased by 3.59%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Freehold Royalties Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 129 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~129 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0485
3.53***
αARCH0.1867
13.23***
βGARCH0.8080
72.27***

0.995

Persistence

129d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0485
3.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1867
13.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8080
72.27***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

129 days