Freehold Royalties Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
19.44%
increased by 1.20%
1 Week
19.95%
increased by 1.71%
1 Month
21.83%
increased by 3.59%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 09:05 AM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 1997 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 129 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~129 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0485 | 3.53*** |
| αARCH | 0.1867 | 13.23*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8080 | 72.27*** |
0.995
Persistence129d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0485 | 3.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1867 | 13.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8080 | 72.27*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
129 days
Other Freehold Royalties Ltd Analyses
Other MEM Analyses on International Equities