V-Lab
Shimizu Corp MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
54.28%
decreased by 4.37%
1 Week
53.81%
decreased by 4.84%
1 Month
52.15%
decreased by 6.50%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 30, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1589 | 16.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2237 | 55.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7538 | 230.11*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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