Fresenius SE & Co KGaA MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
27.90%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Week
27.97%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Month
28.22%
decreased by 0.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:08 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 29, 1993 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 49 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 49 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 49-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0512 | 1.65* |
| αARCH | 0.0727 | 8.00*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9132 | 85.81*** |
0.986
Persistence49d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0512 | 1.65* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0727 | 8.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9132 | 85.81*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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