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V-Lab

Fresenius SE & Co KGaA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

27.79%

increased by 2.56%

1 Week

27.81%

increased by 2.58%

1 Month

27.43%

increased by 2.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius SE & Co KGaA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 283% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0383
10.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7177
61.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1083
18.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7140
0.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8014
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.810

Half-life:

3 days