Fresenius SE & Co KGaA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
27.79%
increased by 2.56%
1 Week
27.81%
increased by 2.58%
1 Month
27.43%
increased by 2.20%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 7, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 283% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0383 | 10.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7177 | 61.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1083 | 18.91*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.7140 | 0.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8014 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.810
Half-life:
3 days
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