V-Lab
Fresenius SE & Co KGaA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
23.14%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Week
24.34%
increased by 0.95%
1 Month
26.26%
increased by 2.87%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 7, 1992 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 295% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0370 | 10.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7183 | 60.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1093 | 19.12*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.7161 | 0.23 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8006 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.810
Half-life:
3 days
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