V-Lab
PowerX Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
2.77%
1 Week
8,656,600.72%
1 Month
10,042,143,795,027,037,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2025 to Aug 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5000 | 58.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -58.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0015 | 85.28*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 5.00*** |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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