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V-Lab

PowerX Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

2.77%

decreased by 12.43%

1 Week

8,656,600.72%

increased by 8,656,585.52%

1 Month

10,042,143,795,027,037,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 10,042,143,795,027,037,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of PowerX Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2025 to Aug 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
58.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-58.84***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0015
85.28***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
5.00***

Persistence:

0.250

Half-life:

1 days