PowerX Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
152.21%
increased by 64.04%
1 Week
149.55%
increased by 61.38%
1 Month
146.54%
increased by 58.37%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 07:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 160% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3129 | 619.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1950 | 167.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 536.48*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 83.5776 |
Persistence:
0.758
Half-life:
3 days
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