Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
22.77%
increased by 1.96%
1 Week
23.17%
increased by 2.36%
1 Month
23.69%
increased by 2.88%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 143% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1507 | 8.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4232 | 15.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2154 | 7.06*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0065 | 0.41 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0153 | 1.67* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9811 | 77.99*** |
Persistence:
0.682
Half-life:
2 days
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