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V-Lab

Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

18.64%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

21.91%

increased by 3.20%

1 Month

24.30%

increased by 5.59%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 146% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1479
8.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4152
14.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2162
7.28***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0066
0.40
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0160
1.62
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9803
72.40***

Persistence:

0.671

Half-life:

2 days