V-Lab
Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
18.64%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Week
21.91%
increased by 3.20%
1 Month
24.30%
increased by 5.59%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 146% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1479 | 8.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4152 | 14.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2162 | 7.28*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0066 | 0.40 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0160 | 1.62 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9803 | 72.40*** |
Persistence:
0.671
Half-life:
2 days
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