V-Lab
Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
19.17%
decreased by 1.11%
1 Week
21.56%
increased by 1.28%
1 Month
23.21%
increased by 2.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 146% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1489 | 8.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4182 | 15.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2168 | 7.32*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0065 | 0.40 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0154 | 1.64 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9809 | 76.25*** |
Persistence:
0.676
Half-life:
2 days
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