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V-Lab

Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

22.77%

increased by 1.96%

1 Week

23.17%

increased by 2.36%

1 Month

23.69%

increased by 2.88%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Strong H Machinery Technology Cayman Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2016 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 143% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1507
8.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4232
15.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2154
7.06***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0065
0.41
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0153
1.67*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9811
77.99***

Persistence:

0.682

Half-life:

2 days