Avon Technologies PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
46.85%
increased by 0.21%
1 Week
48.68%
increased by 2.04%
1 Month
49.51%
increased by 2.87%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2020 to Jul 3, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1843 | 0.89 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1516 | -0.93 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.7778 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4630 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0412 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.108
Half-life:
0 days
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