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V-Lab

Avon Technologies PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

46.85%

increased by 0.21%

1 Week

48.68%

increased by 2.04%

1 Month

49.51%

increased by 2.87%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Avon Technologies PLC MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 2020 to Jul 3, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1843
0.89
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1516
-0.93
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.7778
0.02
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4630
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0412
0.00

Persistence:

0.108

Half-life:

0 days