V-Lab
Avon Technologies PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
44.73%
decreased by 0.19%
1 Week
47.17%
increased by 2.25%
1 Month
47.22%
increased by 2.30%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2020 to Jul 31, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1855 | 0.91 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1526 | -0.95 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.5694 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4700 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0442 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.109
Half-life:
0 days
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