V-Lab
Avon Technologies PLC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
44.12%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
46.37%
increased by 2.15%
1 Month
47.10%
increased by 2.88%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1889 | 0.94 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1571 | -0.98 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.6705 | 0.02 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4789 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0269 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.110
Half-life:
0 days
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