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V-Lab

Avon Technologies PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

49.36%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

52.36%

increased by 2.66%

1 Month

54.06%

increased by 4.36%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Avon Technologies PLC GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 2020 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
7.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1240
4.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4738
9.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0400
-0.93

Persistence:

0.578

Half-life:

1 days