V-Lab
Avon Technologies PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
50.80%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Week
52.94%
increased by 1.77%
1 Month
54.16%
increased by 2.99%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 7.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1234 | 4.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4737 | 9.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0402 | -0.94 |
Persistence:
0.577
Half-life:
1 days
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