V-Lab
BASF SE GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
21.01%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Week
21.26%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
22.09%
increased by 0.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 217% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0554 | 21.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0288 | 14.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9201 | 438.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0626 | 14.40*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities