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V-Lab

BASF SE GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

21.47%

increased by 0.79%

1 Week

21.70%

increased by 1.02%

1 Month

22.47%

increased by 1.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BASF SE GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 214% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0563
21.20***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0295
14.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9189
434.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0631
14.36***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days