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V-Lab

BASF SE GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

21.01%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

21.26%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

22.09%

increased by 0.93%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BASF SE GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 217% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0554
21.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0288
14.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9201
438.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0626
14.40***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days