V-Lab
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
36.52%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
36.95%
decreased by 0.37%
1 Month
37.97%
increased by 0.65%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 2, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 84% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5070 | 7.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0384 | 8.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8628 | 77.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0321 | 3.47*** |
Persistence:
0.917
Half-life:
8 days
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