V-Lab
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
42.80%
decreased by 1.62%
1 Week
42.29%
decreased by 2.13%
1 Month
41.03%
decreased by 3.39%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 2, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 82% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5092 | 7.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0388 | 8.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8622 | 77.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0319 | 3.44*** |
Persistence:
0.917
Half-life:
8 days
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