Skip to main content
V-Lab

Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

32.53%

decreased by 1.75%

1 Week

34.43%

increased by 0.15%

1 Month

35.33%

increased by 1.05%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 2, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5722
8.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1388
4.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3733
3.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ10.5016
2.83***
γ2-0.7923
-2.30**
γ30.3085
0.92
γ40.1556
0.59
γ5-0.1996
-0.94
γ60.0652
0.28
γ7-0.2651
-1.10
γ80.3866
1.97**
γ9-0.1581
-0.90
γ10-0.0208
-0.14

Persistence:

0.512

Half-life:

1 days