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Concord Biotech Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

58.27%

increased by 8.66%

1 Week

56.44%

increased by 6.83%

1 Month

51.58%

increased by 1.97%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Concord Biotech Limited S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 18, 2023 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0159
5.92***
αARCH0.0697
1.94*
βGARCH0.8537
12.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0028
-0.09

0.923

Persistence

9d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0159
5.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0697
1.94*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8537
12.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0028
-0.09

Persistence:

0.923

Half-life:

9 days